Pembroke Pines, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

736
FXUS62 KMFL 141747
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
147 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 140 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

 - Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into early
   evening. Heavy rainfall may lead to poor drainage or urban
   flooding.

 - Minor coastal flooding is possible late this morning through
   early this afternoon along the Collier and Mainland Monroe
   coastline.

 - Max heat indices of 100-105 are expected this afternoon which
   may cause heat related concerns for sensitive populations.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 103 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Early morning analysis shows surface high pressure in the central
Atlantic with a weaker area of high pressure over the eastern Gulf.
On Monday another area of high pressure is expected to form in the
western Atlantic. Today`s pattern will be fairly similar to the past
several days with a quiet morning and then afternoon and early
evening convection aided by the sea-breezes. Highest PoPs will be
over the interior with lower PoPs right along both coasts. An
isolated strong to marginally severe storm will be possible again
today, with strong wind gusts the primary threat. PWAT values of 2.0-
2.2 inches with fairly deep moisture throughout the column will
promote high rainfall rates. A localized urban or poor drainage
threat will exist especially if any storms pass across the metro.
WPC has the entire region in a marginal risk for excessive rain.
High temps this afternoon will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Combined with dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s, max heat indices of
100-105 are expected.

Convection wanes by later this evening and then it should be fairly
quiet overnight. Low temps will remain mild with overnight lows
ranging from the lower 70s over the interior to upper 70s closer to
the coasts.

Low level flow on Monday will become more SSE as high pressure in
the western Atlantic builds in. This will result in the east coast
sea-breeze struggling to make much of a push inland, which should
bring a higher focus of convection into the east coast metro during
the afternoon and early evening hours. This also will present a
urban and poor drainage flood threat again on Monday with slow
moving storms and high rainfall rates. High temps will primarily be
in the lower 90s. Dewpoints may tick a few degrees higher with the
SSE flow so max heat indices may approach advisory criteria. Saving
grace against an advisory may be the timing of convection, but this
will need to be monitored closely over the coming day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 103 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Surface high pressure in the western Atlantic will remain anchored
in the vicinity through at least mid week. An upper level low over
the eastern Caribbean will meander around the region through at
least mid week, with little impact expected locally. Towards the
middle of the week, a frontal boundary will approach the southeast
US as an upper level trough digs through the eastern US, however at
this point the frontal boundary looks like it will struggle to make
it any further south than northern FL before washing out later in
the week.

Convection will continue to be primarily diurnally driven sea-breeze
convection during the extended period. With a low level SSE flow
early in the week, higher PoPs are expected across the east coast
metro on Tuesday. As the flow becoming more easterly mid to late
week, highest PoPs will transition to the interior and SW FL, with
lower chances across the east coast metro.

Temperatures during the extended period will remain above normal.
Heat indices will max out at 100-105 each afternoon with some
flirtation of advisory criteria each day through the end of the
week. Timing of rainfall each day will be critical on whether or not
advisory criteria will be reached.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

VFR conditions are forecast to prevail at all TAF sites through
the forecast period. We are looking at another day of sea breeze
thunderstorms, which will likely affect more the interior and KAPF
than the east coast TAF sites, and could bring brief visibility
and ceiling restrictions. There is a lower chance that storms
would affect the east coast TAF sites but this would occur closer
to 00Z if that occurred. Models indicate potentially the best
location to be affected by storms to be KPBI later this evening.
Otherwise, winds will be out of the south to southeast around
5-10kts at sites, shifting overnight out of southwest or variable
with speeds less than 5kts.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 103 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Gentle southeasterly winds expected today, with Gulf winds becoming
westerly this afternoon. Seas generally 2 ft or less in the Atlantic
and a foot or less in the Gulf. Scattered thunderstorms possible
which may result in locally hazardous winds and seas.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 103 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Due to the new moon cycle, minor coastal flooding is possible during
high tide from late this morning through early this afternoon along
the Collier county and Mainland Monroe coastlines. Additional minor
coastal flooding is possible on Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            77  91  77  92 /  30  50  10  30
West Kendall     75  92  75  93 /  30  50  10  20
Opa-Locka        77  93  77  94 /  30  60  20  40
Homestead        77  91  78  92 /  10  40   0  10
Fort Lauderdale  78  91  78  92 /  30  60  30  40
N Ft Lauderdale  77  91  77  91 /  30  60  30  50
Pembroke Pines   79  94  79  95 /  30  60  20  40
West Palm Beach  77  92  77  93 /  40  60  20  60
Boca Raton       78  91  78  92 /  30  60  20  50
Naples           79  90  79  91 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...JC